Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.116452 0.129869 0.143603 0.158677 0.174715 0.191235 0.209498
2024-10-27 0.096959 0.115388 0.134991 0.157261 0.181728 0.207665 0.237118
2024-11-03 0.084101 0.106113 0.130329 0.158656 0.190602 0.225251 0.265414
2024-11-10 0.075315 0.100245 0.128513 0.162428 0.201525 0.244732 0.295648
2024-11-17 0.065884 0.092600 0.123823 0.162214 0.207397 0.258199 0.318962
2024-11-24 0.060130 0.088724 0.123037 0.166118 0.217701 0.276520 0.347717
2024-12-01 0.053881 0.083607 0.120250 0.167217 0.224399 0.290478 0.371362
2024-12-08 0.047786 0.078104 0.116510 0.166751 0.228910 0.301660 0.391647
2024-12-15 0.043059 0.073960 0.114121 0.167647 0.234832 0.314350 0.413611
2024-12-22 0.038198 0.069184 0.110550 0.166743 0.238304 0.323943 0.431801
2024-12-29 0.035464 0.067150 0.110397 0.170052 0.246895 0.339652 0.457282
2025-01-05 0.032056 0.063824 0.108262 0.170588 0.251859 0.350861 0.477318
2025-01-12 0.028588 0.060185 0.105581 0.170391 0.255988 0.361246 0.496691
2025-01-19 0.025096 0.056164 0.102105 0.168918 0.258331 0.369336 0.513239
2025-01-26 0.022796 0.053835 0.100884 0.170383 0.264406 0.382048 0.535473
2025-02-02 0.021373 0.052830 0.101507 0.174332 0.273720 0.398852 0.562823
2025-02-09 0.019035 0.050004 0.099239 0.174110 0.277426 0.408521 0.581323
2025-02-16 0.017926 0.049255 0.100051 0.178193 0.286863 0.425499 0.608988
2025-02-23 0.016258 0.047300 0.098873 0.179343 0.292302 0.437348 0.630253
2025-03-02 0.014409 0.044777 0.096647 0.178856 0.295438 0.446187 0.647723
2025-03-09 0.013009 0.042976 0.095456 0.179793 0.300461 0.457443 0.668249
2025-03-16 0.011405 0.040538 0.093075 0.178848 0.302811 0.465171 0.684286
2025-03-23 0.010684 0.039912 0.093656 0.182307 0.311258 0.480882 0.710521